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According to CoreLogic’s research director, Tim Lawless, a
synchronised growth phase like this hasn’t been seen in
Australia for more than a decade. “The last time we saw a
sustained period where every capital city and rest of state
region was rising in value was mid-2009 through to early 2010,
as post-GFC stimulus fueled buyer demand.”
Sydney and Melbourne were among the strongest performing
markets, recording a 2.5% and 2.1% lift in home values over
the month respectively, as Australia’s two largest cities caught
up from weaker performance through 2020. The quarterly
trend however, is still favouring the smaller cities; Darwin
housing values rose 5.5% over the past three months, Hobart
values rose 4.8% and Perth was up 4.2%.
“Whether this new found growth in Sydney and Melbourne
can be sustained is unclear. Both cities are still recording
values below their earlier peaks, however at this current rate
of appreciation it won’t be long before Australia’s two most
expensive capital city markets are moving through new record
highs. With household incomes expected to remain subdued
and stimulus winding down, it is likely affordability will once
again become a challenge in these cities,” Mr Lawless said.
整体来讲悉尼和墨尔本连上次的高点都没有超过，在以后大放水和极低的利息的条件下，泡沫很小。乃至好多区都没怎么启动，只是刚刚开始罢了。统计不是都说了么，只是涨了2%罢了，这点涨幅算甚么？ 固然局部确实过热了。部份House 溢价30%-40%，曾经重大透支了将来几年的涨幅，危险对比大。 |
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